This is something I considered for the local paper, but decided that not enough people had enough background information on these matters for this to be suitable now. Perhaps, for some of the web readership, it will say something useful. Since it was written two weeks ago, national magazines and TV have prominently discussed avian flu in their headlines. Unfortunately, in America, that is what it takes to legitimize any give "Oh Yeah" proposition.
There are two Great Questions we should ask of any proposed truth, grand hypothesis, pronouncement or explanation of the workings of history or of great inclusive systems, for example, the looming questions about the planet's weather or human health. How we answer these questions and respond to them will determine our futures, individually and collectively.
The two Great Questions we should ask are: 1) Oh yeah? and 2) So what?
The first Oh Yeah? question asks "What are your data, what is their source and from what bias do you interpret the numbers?" The second, So What? asks, if true, is the conclusion trivial or important, and how should we respond, if at all?
Two of the big and uncertain issues that loom at some unknown distance in our personal futures and the future of Floyd County have to do with the impact of global warming and avian flu pandemic.
Let me offer here a brief disclaimer: While I have forty years as a biology watcher that influences my opinions, they can be very wrong but are nonetheless mine and not reached casually. Having said that, let me offer the following personal convictions to Oh Yeah and So What on these matters:
Oh Yeah: Climate change (a warming planet) is certain; global warming (mankind's contribution to rising CO2 greenhouse gasses) is very likely. While next week's weather may not seem unusual, global climate is changing in ways that will have unpredictable consequences on every part of the planet.
Oh Yeah: Avian Flu (H5N1 the most likely combination as of late 2005) has the potential and as recently as mid-September has shown the growing reality of spreading human to human, reaching the World Health Organizations Level 5: a world-wide epidemic (pandemic) within the coming months or years seems inevitable. While fewer than seventy have died so far, millions or hundreds of millions might.
So What?
Here is where it is easy to become overwhelmed. Both the massive global weather machinery already in place and the genetic workings of a trillion trillion mutating viruses in southeast Asia are operating by forces beyond the control of man to prevent or avert in the short run. It is as inevitable that Southwest Virginia will partake of tomorrow's altered climate, as it is certain its borders would be no barrier to imported viruses with alarmingly high mortality rates. What is a person or community to do in the advancing shadows of such great and unstoppable change, should it come?
Certainly, we should all make the personal preparations necessary to weather increasingly frequent periods where life is not normal, even if it is just a typical three-day winter snow storm just months away. But there is more to these matters than the personal uncertainties that demand household planning. What is our Floyd County, southwest Virginia So What?
I have no easy answers leading to a collective response, but I certainly have questions of some urgency: How can Floyd County use its mix of skill sets, talents, knowledge and experience to deal in an exemplary fashion with those changes that may come our way? How can we be proactive, anticipating the needs of our elderly, our poor, our children, our farm animals and pets for the adjusted necessities of life in a time of hardship?
We have the blessing of time in the months to come to insure that we will be the good neighbors we are called to be to each other. But it will take every segment of our population working together in ways that we maybe have not, in the past, been called upon to work. Successfully weathering these potential storms will require each of us to see past the labels we might have put on the other political party, lifestyle or religion that is different from our own and be there for each other, side by side in the town and county, white collar and blue, native and newcomer.
I confess I find this a very difficult 'elephant in the room' to expose in this public place. But I cannot find comfort in the So What of this situation being to acquiesce, to drop our arms and stand slack-jawed and powerless in the face of crisis, to remain silent when we should be talking like we've never talked before. Many of us want to be part of the solution and that should begin to take shape very soon. Let's talk.